Only 10ish 1st round QBs drafted between 2011 and 2020...


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Posted by ClockBlocker on February 07, 2024 at 16:17:57

... have been "successful" (out of 31)

Not a great hit rate.

I really like this guy's videos (my favorite is, "who originated and refined the modern offenses?" Air raid, spread, wco, etc)

He's got some pretty useful takeaways, I think. Such as...

1. There's no difference between college and pro offenses. They're each running the same stuff.

I think that is largely true. College is much more apt to run "inside zone read" (which gives qb the option to keep) and nfl is more apt to run "inside zone" without the "read" tag (ie, just hand the ball off and carry out your fake). But inside zone and outside zone are staples of both college and nfl

2nd thing I will mention...tollman makes the point that Justin Herbert was grossly underutilized at Oregon. 25% of his passes were screens. The passing game was very conservative and vanilla, and didn't take advantage of his cannon arm. (Maybe the pass pro wasn't good enough to keep him upright.)

I'll let you hear the 3 things that he uses to determine if a QB is going to be successful out of the gate in the nfl for yourself. It's at the end of the video



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