I am not sure I trust Kalshi as a predictor

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Posted by mh on July 20, 2026 at 09:50:29

In Reply to: A dead can could beat Susan Collins posted by confused442 on July 20, 2026 at 01:23:01

CNN cites them because they are paid to.

Here's a great example of Polymarket 'prediction' Dr.J 11:41:10 07/20/26 (0)
They are a good way to find out what people with disposable blindness 10:35:15 07/20/26 (4)
- I am pretty sure there are only two groups making money there mh 10:41:31 07/20/26 (3)
  - Part of the reason for these markets is to get insiders to . . . BluBlood 12:45:58 07/20/26 (0)
  - Saw an article on one of the sites, tiny %age of bettors win vast Dr.J 11:16:46 07/20/26 (0)
  - True -- so it's even worse* blindness 10:51:31 07/20/26 (0)
It's a gambling site that often involves rigged outcomes Dr.J 10:02:54 07/20/26 (2)
- It also allows them to get around laws against online gambling* mh 10:42:34 07/20/26 (1)
  - Yup, plus it also allows people to win bets on moral hazards Dr.J 11:15:07 07/20/26 (0)

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